In Honor of the Kentucky Derby, from Steve Ellison
Past performance charts for various markets showing their positions in the last two 2-month "races" at half-month intervals. Which asset will perform best in the next two months?
Rank
Cotton 1/2 mo 1 mo 1 1/2 mo 2 mo 2 mo change (currency
adjusted)
Mar-Apr 7 5 7 6 3.7%
Jan-Feb 11 10 6 1 9.6%
Gold 1/2 mo 1 mo 1 1/2 mo 2 mo 2 mo change
Mar-Apr 8 8 4 4 6.4%
Jan-Feb 3 5 4 3 3.7%
Silver 1/2 mo 1 mo 1 1/2 mo 2 mo 2 mo change
Mar-Apr 2 2 1 1 13.8%
Jan-Feb 1 8 11 7 -0.3%
Soybeans 1/2 mo 1 mo 1 1/2 mo 2 mo 2 mo change
Mar-Apr 10 10 5 5 4.1%
Jan-Feb 12 12 12 12 -7.2%
Euro 1/2 mo 1 mo 1 1/2 mo 2 mo 2 mo change
Mar-Apr 3 6 9 10 -1.3%
Jan-Feb 8 6 9 8 -3.3%
British Pound 1/2 mo 1 mo 1 1/2 mo 2 mo 2 mo change
Mar-Apr 9 7 6 8 1.2%
Jan-Feb 7 4 8 9 -3.9%
Sugar 1/2 mo 1 mo 1 1/2 mo 2 mo 2 mo change
Mar-Apr 13 13 13 13 -30.7%
Jan-Feb 2 1 1 10 -4.8%
Corn 1/2 mo 1 mo 1 1/2 mo 2 mo 2 mo change
Mar-Apr 11 11 11 11 -5.2%
Jan-Feb 13 13 13 11 -6.7%
Crude oil 1/2 mo 1 mo 1 1/2 mo 2 mo 2 mo change
Mar-Apr 4 3 3 3 8.2%
Jan-Feb 10 11 10 6 0.5%
S&P 500 1/2 mo 1 mo 1 1/2 mo 2 mo 2 mo change
Mar-Apr 1 1 2 2 8.8%
Jan-Feb 5 7 7 5 1.1%
Natural gas 1/2 mo 1 mo 1 1/2 mo 2 mo 2 mo change
Mar-Apr 12 12 12 12 -20.2%
Jan-Feb 4 9 5 13 -11.0%
10-year T notes 1/2 mo 1 mo 1 1/2 mo 2 mo 2 mo change
Mar-Apr 6 9 10 7 1.3%
Jan-Feb 6 2 2 2 4.8%
U.S. Dollar 1/2 mo 1 mo 1 1/2 mo 2 mo 2 mo change
Mar-Apr 5 4 8 9 1.0%
Jan-Feb 9 3 3 4 1.8%