Market Analysis, by Victor Niederhoffer
The common theory descriptive of complex messy systems where the outcome is dependent on many variables with much uncertainty about them, each of which influences the others, with much unknown about interrelations and new effects, like the market is that emergent properties, regularities and stable landings occur. What sort of emergent properties are there in the mess that we work in, and how can this be quantified and especially differentiated from randomness. The SP was 1110 + - 2 for 4 days in a row, and had a day of lowest volatility on 6 18 before its fifteenth biggest up opening of last 4 years. What does it portend? What flexionic states will endure?