The Threat and the Execution, from Victor Niederhoffer
The threat is worse than the execution. Stocks going up on threat that the senate will pass a bill to avert shutdown. Okay, it will be announced. Then the threat will be that the house won't pass it. So it will go down. Then probably it will go down to wire in house. And perhaps the first time they vote they won't pass it, but then a change will be made to avert catastrophe, and then the market will be ready to go down again. Just a prediction in general based on board logic.