Earthquake Prediction, from Pitt T. Maner III
Vladimir Keilis-Borok remembered:
"Scientist Who Sought to Predict Quakes Dies at 92"
"Earthquake prediction today remains elusive. Most scientists are generally pessimistic about ever having that ability and have instead focused on emergency preparedness and advocating for an early warning system designed to give people a few seconds of notice after a quake occurs but before damaging waves spread widely."
and perhaps V K-B's methods may be useful for political election outcomes?
'Keilis-Borok and his team identified patterns of seismic activity using mathematical algorithms. Their predictions were based on finding a "seismic chain," or series of smaller quakes, that could be a precursor to a major jolt. He called this methodology "tail wagging the dog."'