The Sage’s Billion $ Offer, from Charles Pennington
Table below gives the odds.
Columns:
–prediction accuracy (assumed to be the same in every game)
–odds of getting it are "1 in X "where X is shown in column 2)
50% 9.2E+18
60% 9.5E+13
66% 2.3E+11
75% 7.4E+07
80% 1.3E+06
90% 763
95% 25
(Example: if you're 95% accurate, then the probability of getting all 63 games correct is 0.95^(65) = .0394 = 1/25 )