Bulletins from the front: Trading, markets, and politics
nice improvement in bicyclist chances in senate looming. bullish for regulatory capture and elections and market.
long duration without a big hi - bullish.
tremendous decline in chances that senate will turn around - now only 55% was 78%. very good for full court press from young looking bicyclist.
bonds at 30 day high. bullish for stocks.
missouri hedge: long sp, short crude. [Before Friday, July 1]
daughter dr. katie tells me that one of key findings of psych research is that natural ability is king. the first time is the best predictor.
test for S&P: when sp up more than 5 in first minute versus down 5 in first minute. difference of 30 big pts in prediction for close. t of 2.1, 2019-present.
all good things must come to end - re missouri hedge. [After Friday, July 1]
query: what would happen to crude if war were to end?
nice 25% decline in wheat futures in last month from 1100 to 850.