Skip to content

Mid-term election weeks

Three predictions around election day: (1) we will hear much more about P. Pelosi after Tuesday. (2) the ray-ban sunglasses will be used much more frequently by the unifier. (3) based on patterns, the move from day of election to 2 days after is up 13 big or about 1.5%.

Last 6 midterm elections S&P 500 average move from open to close:
MON +3.38
TUE +5.70 (election day)
WED +8.95
THU +4.42
FRI -1.45

[Click image to open for full analysis showing S&P futures data for the mid-term election weeks from 1998-2018.]