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2025

2025-12

2025-12-31 — There is market manipulation, from Larry Williams
2025-12-31 — Great recent webinars, from Peter Ringel
2025-12-30 — Only the strong
2025-12-30 — Jobs: Rebirth, from Bill Rafter
2025-12-29 — A curious case of silver, from Anatoly Veltman
2025-12-28 — Letters From A Self-Made Merchant To His Son
2025-12-26 — Fantastic Veritasium video on power laws, from Asindu Drileba
2025-12-24 — Stubby Pringle’s Christmas, from Dailyspeculations
2025-12-23 — Low status jobs becoming high status, from Nils Poertner
2025-12-23 — Force of destiny
2025-12-22 — Tales from the pit, from Jeff Watson
2025-12-22 — Bitcoin Historical Drawdowns, from Cagdas Tuna
2025-12-21 — Study of ancient languages. from Nils Poertner
2025-12-20 — Low range of S&P
2025-12-20 — Another amazing measurement: LIGO, from Alston Mabry
2025-12-19 — Request for “off topic” books on speculation, from Asindu Drileba
2025-12-18 — Clustering, from Nils Poertner
2025-12-17 — John Freeborn, from Stefan Jovanovich
2025-12-16 — Only the paranoid survive, from Nils Poertner
2025-12-16 — Oil at $55
2025-12-15 — McDonald’s Admits It’s Too Expensive for Customers, from Art Cooper
2025-12-15 — Harvard Club antisemitism, from Jeff Watson
2025-12-14 — Ever Changing Cycles in the NBA, from Andrew Moe
2025-12-13 — To Build a Better Rat Trap, from Bo Keely
2025-12-12 — Comments on free trade, from Stefan Jovanovich
2025-12-11 — Why free trade is better
2025-12-11 — Brilliant Marketing, from Peter Ringel
2025-12-10 — Ye Outside Fools!
2025-12-10 — The fifty rounds, and more
2025-12-09 — Interesting AI read, from Big Al
2025-12-07 — Andrew Carnegie
2025-12-06 — Sancho Panza proverbs, from Nils Poertner
2025-12-04 — Previous 20-day high
2025-12-04 — A large piece of history from the age of sail
2025-12-02 — A sea wolf and a cowboy

2025-11

2025-11-30 — Sometimes those elevator door buttons actually work, from Henry Gifford
2025-11-29 — American Colossus; “very bull”
2025-11-28 — Lucky charms, from M. Humbert
2025-11-26 — Speculator & Son
2025-11-26 — Give Thanks for Pilgrims — and McDonalds, by Victor Niederhoffer and Laurel Kenner
2025-11-25 — Book recommendation from Zubin Al Genubi
2025-11-24 — The world in your breakfast
2025-11-23 — Suprises, from Nils Poertner
2025-11-22 — Thanksgiving soon
2025-11-22 — Getting back to normal with Jobs data, from Bill Rafter
2025-11-21 — VIX Intraday Range, from Cagdas Tuna
2025-11-21 — Sheep shearing, Humbert Q.
2025-11-20 — That’s enough
2025-11-20 — Following the Equator
2025-11-19 — Market lesson, from Jeff Watson
2025-11-19 — A good time to buy
2025-11-17 — Corporate earnings, from Zubin Al Genubi
2025-11-15 — Tax receipts, from Larry Williams
2025-11-13 — The $38 Trillion Question, from Humbert X.
2025-11-12 — David Hand’s probability lever, from Nils Poertner
2025-11-11 — Deutsche Bank sums it up, from Humbertus B.
2025-11-10 — Best indicators for inflation, from Asindu Drileba
2025-11-09 — Prestigious consulting firm, from Nils Poertner
2025-11-08 — Tevye the Dairy Man
2025-11-07 — Ten days since an ATH
2025-11-06 — Percentages versus discrete values, from Duncan Coker
2025-11-04 — Edmund Clarence Stedman, from Stefan Jovanovich
2025-11-02 — Optimism fulfilled

2025-10

2025-10-30 — Demand, Supply, and Electricity Prices, from Carder Dimitroff
2025-10-29 — The latest from Laurel Kenner
2025-10-29 — An attempt
2025-10-28 — Entertaining valuation exercise, from Big Al
2025-10-27 — State debt, from Jeff Watson
2025-10-26 — The forgotten janitor who discovered the logic of the mind, from B. Humbert
2025-10-25 — Second favorite Hungarian, from Venkatesh Medabalimi
2025-10-24 — The gentlemen don’t believe
2025-10-24 — Another Historical Analogy, from Stefan Jovanovich
2025-10-23 — Regional US banks, from Nils Poertner
2025-10-22 — The Tipster
2025-10-22 — Government shutdown question, from Cagdas Tuna
2025-10-21 — Trading the transition to AV1, from Asindu Drileba
2025-10-21 — Oil and PPI
2025-10-20 — Calming musical interlude for spicy markets, from Big Al
2025-10-19 — Le Chiffre attacks, from Asindu Drileba
2025-10-18 — Lessons from The Godfather
2025-10-17 — George B Shaw, from Nils Poertner
2025-10-16 — Hubris is going to a New All Time High, from Sushil Kedia
2025-10-13 — Advice from the past, from Humbert X.
2025-10-12 — Counting and measuring, from A. Humbert
2025-10-09 — Jewish Hungarian, from Nils Poertner
2025-10-08 — Charles Ranlett Flint
2025-10-07 — Miscellany
2025-10-05 — The Pursuit of Wealth
2025-10-03 — Where am i wrong, from Larry Williams
2025-10-02 — Academic panic
2025-10-01 — Lebanon, from Nils Poertner

2025-09

2025-09-29 — Declines from 20-day highs
2025-09-28 — Scaling problems in ship design, from Nils Poertner
2025-09-27 — An increase in output bearish?
2025-09-26 — A clever counting device, from Humbert B.
2025-09-25 — Insights from A Year in the Maine Woods
2025-09-23 — Health care costs, from Nils Poertner
2025-09-22 — Get ready to rumble, from Carder Dimitroff
2025-09-19 — Dow theory, from Steve Ellison
2025-09-17 — Questions on FOMC day
2025-09-17 — Equilibrium
2025-09-16 — Happy Yeltsin Supermarket Day
2025-09-15 — Number sense, from H. Humbert
2025-09-13 — Another ATH; advice to a young son
2025-09-11 — Power Laws in Economics and Finance, from Big Al
2025-09-10 — Finally another ATH
2025-09-09 — Advice
2025-09-08 — Dutch scientist Christiaan Huygens, from Nils Poertner
2025-09-07 — Music and longevity, from B. Humbert
2025-09-06 — The Evolution of Infantry War-Fighting, from Stefan Jovanovich
2025-09-04 — History through biography, from Humbert X.
2025-09-03 — Data centers and power demand, from Big Al
2025-09-03 — Another 20-day high due soon
2025-09-01 — What with the racquet tournament going on in Queens

2025-08

2025-08-31 — George Pólya, from N. Humbert
2025-08-29 — What we don’t trade, but study for warnings about what the 19th Century called “slumps”, from Stefan Jovanovich
2025-08-28 — If man were to disappear
2025-08-27 — Suppliers vs providers, from Stefan Jovanovich
2025-08-26 — 0DTE & Volatility, from Peter Ringel
2025-08-25 — Robert Z. Aliber, 1930-2025, from Alex Castaldo
2025-08-24 — Recent research on credit rating changes, from Humbert A.
2025-08-23 — Carpet bombing and the death of General Lesley McNair, from Humbert X.
2025-08-22 — Boy Rasmussen
2025-08-22 — Another POV on the intelligence community
2025-08-20 — From the archives: research review, from B. Humbert
2025-08-19 — A secret technique to delay aging
2025-08-17 — Best video on Punnett square, from Asindu Drileba
2025-08-16 — For the wild West thread: Nine Years Among The Indians
2025-08-15 — Another Comparison of the 19th with the 21st Century, from Stefan Jovanovich
2025-08-14 — Book rec from Steve Ellison
2025-08-12 — A deeper look at employment, from Bill Rafter
2025-08-11 — Disappointing AI
2025-08-09 — The Speculator’s Edge: A Life in Markets, Mistakes, and Mastery
2025-08-08 — Trickery and deception
2025-08-07 — Learning From Data, from Asindu Drileba
2025-08-06 — Biological invasions
2025-08-04 — Tech Stress, from Nils Poertner
2025-08-03 — The Right Moves: My Life in Chess, By Art Bisguier
2025-08-02 — From the archives: The Vig Keeps Grinding Away, from Jeff Watson
2025-08-01 — How do you fight the Vig?, from Asindu Drileba

2025-07

2025-07-31 — Art Shay: Through the Lens and On the Page
2025-07-30 — Keeping up with Dr. Brett
2025-07-29 — Wiswell’s Way: A Life on the Squares and Between the Lines
2025-07-28 — Tufte fail, from Humbert X.
2025-07-27 — The finest man of Westport
2025-07-26 — Dispersion, from Big Al
2025-07-24 — The Penobscot Expedition, from Stefan Jovanovich
2025-07-24 — A nice example of economy
2025-07-23 — Entry or exit opportunity, from Nils Poertner
2025-07-22 — Smörgåsbord
2025-07-21 — CPI Data Quality Declining
2025-07-19 — Big Mac Index, from Jeff Watson
2025-07-18 — C & I loans, Large v. Small banks, from Bill Rafter
2025-07-17 — Your Favorite Chicken Sandwich Shows How Markets Iterate, by Dr. Peter C. Earle
2025-07-16 — Alphafold: using AI to solve the protein puzzle, from H. Humbert
2025-07-15 — July, 1798 - John Adams Starts the first Loser War of the United States, from Stefan Jovanovich
2025-07-14 — Forest for the trees, from Humbert Y.
2025-07-12 — The case for free trade
2025-07-11 — Spectacular reported profits
2025-07-10 — Retail Trading in Options and the Rise of the Big Three Wholesalers, from B. Humbert
2025-07-09 — Free trade is a good thing
2025-07-08 — Two Petawatts for 25 quintillionths of a second at Michigan, from Carder Dimitroff
2025-07-07 — A loitering rogue
2025-07-06 — William Slim, from Stefan Jovanovich
2025-07-05 — DailySpeculations calendar colors, from Big Al
2025-07-04 — Dollar’s Decline Meets Rising Dedollarization, from Dr. Peter C. Earle
2025-07-03 — Sports $$$, from Big Al
2025-07-02 — Gem from Operations Research, from Asindu Drileba
2025-07-01 — Historical view: The A B C of Stock Speculation (1902)

2025-06

2025-06-30 — Daily Spec Calendar Transitions
2025-06-29 — Part 2 of the Story of Robert Morris, from Stefan Jovanovich
2025-06-28 — Trade negotiations, from Dr. Peter C. Earle
2025-06-27 — General semantics, from Nils Poertner
2025-06-26 — Increase in yields, from Jeff Watson
2025-06-25 — Fate again, but called Destiny
2025-06-24 — Forces of fate
2025-06-24 — Excellent version of Clews, from Laurel Kenner
2025-06-23 — Jarisch–Herxheimer reaction, from Nils Poertner
2025-06-22 — Classic research on volatility
2025-06-21 — The Life of Matthew Fontaine Maury Osborne, from Victor Niederhoffer
2025-06-20 — AQR looks at trend following, from Y. Humbert
2025-06-19 — Robert Morris, financier, from Larry Williams
2025-06-18 — Win rate, from Francesco Sabella
2025-06-17 — Bullish timing
2025-06-16 — GridFree AI: Data centers to bypass utilities, from Carder Dimitroff
2025-06-15 — Gregariousness, glory, and memorable experience
2025-06-13 — Alasdair MacIntyre (1929-2025), from Alex Castaldo
2025-06-12 — From the archives: 10 Things I’ve Learned About Markets, from Victor Niederhoffer
2025-06-11 — Louis Bachelier’s Theory of Speculation, from Jeff Watson
2025-06-10 — Trees, instinct, octets
2025-06-09 — Analyzing Employment Trends: Full-Time vs. Part-Time Work, from Bill Rafter
2025-06-08 — A trading game, from Humbert Z.
2025-06-06 — On a recent tour
2025-06-05 — Aubrey and Vic in Thailand last week
2025-06-04 — Big round numbers
2025-06-04 — A very healthy day
2025-06-03 — Books again, from Asindu Drileba
2025-06-01 — A book rec, from Big Al

2025-05

2025-05-31 — All higher forms of math and statistics are useless in uncovering regularities, from Asindu Drileba
2025-05-30 — The problem facing China, from Larry Williams
2025-05-29 — The latest from Larry Williams
2025-05-28 — Adapting to the situation, from Big Al
2025-05-27 — An interesting read, from Humbert X.
2025-05-26 — Every trade a loser, from Larry Williams
2025-05-25 — Atlas Shrugged, from Francesco Sabella
2025-05-22 — Books on markets before 1900, from Asindu Drileba
2025-05-21 — Ty Cobb as a Trader, from Stefan Jovanovich
2025-05-20 — Trend following, from Francesco Sabella
2025-05-19 — Some interesting research, from Humbert X.
2025-05-18 — Strategies, from Francesco Sabella
2025-05-17 — Runs of “up” days in the S&P, from Big Al
2025-05-16 — Be careful with AI, from Asindu Drileba
2025-05-15 — News on China from my best source, from L. Humbert
2025-05-14 — Sergio Marchionne, from Francesco Sabella
2025-05-13 — A call for great new books, from Jeffrey Hirsch
2025-05-12 — Multiple proportions
2025-05-11 — Echoes from the past, from Jeff Watson
2025-05-08 — Fuzzy thinking, from Nils Poertner
2025-05-07 — One is reminded
2025-05-07 — Interview with Victor Niederhoffer, from Francesco Sabella
2025-05-06 — Shtetl, Asindu Drileba
2025-05-05 — TSLA Stock, from Francesco Sabella
2025-05-03 — Domestication, from Big Al
2025-05-02 — Working thorium reactor, from Asindu Drileba

2025-04

2025-04-29 — A goldmine of techniques
2025-04-28 — Most resonant
2025-04-28 — 11 things I learnt racing that relate to the markets, from Francesco Sabella
2025-04-27 — Age is just a number, from Jeff Watson
2025-04-26 — Book question, from Francesco Sabella
2025-04-24 — Planck’s principle, from Nils Poertner
2025-04-23 — Modeling the dynamics of life
2025-04-22 — Reading list
2025-04-20 — Is AI really “intelligence”, or IP theft?, from Asindu Drileba
2025-04-19 — Regression to the mean
2025-04-18 — What do you use Linear Regression for?, from Asindu Drileba
2025-04-17 — The Theory Of Societal Stupidity, from Jeff Watson
2025-04-17 — Options Market Are Prediction Markets, from Asindu Drileba
2025-04-16 — The Invisible Gorilla in the Room, from Stefan Jovanovich
2025-04-16 — Guaranteed to happen
2025-04-15 — Trade deficits, from Steve Ellison
2025-04-15 — Bullish
2025-04-14 — “Policy” and regularities, from Paolo Pezzutti
2025-04-14 — Looking back at 2008
2025-04-13 — Galton now finished
2025-04-12 — Does dollar debasing act as capital control?, from Stefan Jovanovich
2025-04-11 — Lessons from a previous crisis, from Rich Bubb
2025-04-10 — Pride
2025-04-09 — 20-day highs
2025-04-07 — Surrounded by pessimism
2025-04-06 — The most important influencer of all
2025-04-05 — VIX close over 40, from Jared Albert
2025-04-05 — Time for the canes?, from Doug Martin (Updated)
2025-04-04 — The beatings will continue until morale improves
2025-04-02 — An article on tariffs that should be read by all

2025-03

2025-03-31 — An insightful section
2025-03-30 — Counting study: Quarter end rebalancing, from Steve Ellison
2025-03-29 — Catching up with Dr Brett
2025-03-28 — Reverse effects, trunks
2025-03-28 — From the archives: 11 stock-slugging tips from Ted Williams
2025-03-27 — Spec roundup
2025-03-25 — We were younger
2025-03-24 — Two champs skiing
2025-03-23 — One of my favorite books of all time
2025-03-21 — Dimson, et al, 2025
2025-03-20 — Two specs in conversation: Jeffrey Hirsch and Larry Williams
2025-03-20 — Shoeshine boy, from P. Humbert (Updated)
2025-03-19 — QOTD, ATH, Lunar Society
2025-03-17 — A Specialist in Panics, from Steve Ellison
2025-03-16 — 10% correction in S&P 500, from Steve Ellison
2025-03-15 — The Cosmic Distance Ladder, from Big Al
2025-03-14 — Best review of a great person
2025-03-13 — Seniors: Learn to love AI, from Laurel Kenner
2025-03-12 — A nice find at Moe’s
2025-03-11 — More on ‘attention’, from X. Humbert
2025-03-10 — If war is a racket, where are the market gains?, from Asindu Drileba
2025-03-08 — Jobs, from Bill Rafter
2025-03-06 — Disruptive behavior
2025-03-05 — Trump Tariffs could elevate margins, from Carder Dimitroff
2025-03-05 — The search for a foolproof system
2025-03-03 — Fundamental vs technical in handicapping, from Humbert X.
2025-03-01 — Sampler

2025-02

2025-02-27 — Attention Induced Trading and Returns: Evidence from Robinhood Users, from Humbert X.
2025-02-25 — Spurious correlations, from A. Humbert
2025-02-23 — From the archives: The volatility-market connection
2025-02-21 — Spec sampler
2025-02-21 — Good day(s)
2025-02-19 — Strange AI twist, from Larry Williams (updated)
2025-02-19 — Finally, an ATH, and The Origins of Value
2025-02-17 — Very bullish
2025-02-16 — From the archives: 22 Things a Man Should Know About Trading
2025-02-14 — Research on retail option trading, from Humbert Q.
2025-02-13 — Update: Is Professional Licensing a Racket?
2025-02-13 — Silver, from Anatoly Veltman
2025-02-12 — Squeakers?
2025-02-11 — Full vs part-Time employment growth rates, from Bill Rafter
2025-02-10 — Sports betting; prediction markets (updated)
2025-02-09 — A biography of Jay Gould, from David Lillienfeld
2025-02-09 — A Plethora of Auguries
2025-02-07 — The wisdom of Wiswell, the effort of Carnegie
2025-02-07 — The Licensing Racket, from Humbert Q.
2025-02-06 — The South Sea Bubble, from Jeff Watson
2025-02-04 — Francis Galton’s Travel Map, from Stefan Jovanovich
2025-02-03 — Inflation and it’s Causes, from Asindu Drileba
2025-02-01 — The Emergence of Probability, from I. Humbert

2025-01

2025-01-31 — Varieties to species, horses to bicycles to airplanes, and round numbers
2025-01-30 — New Wiswell proverbs
2025-01-29 — From the archives: Mind Set! by John Naisbitt, from Steve Ellison
2025-01-28 — An anecdote which gave me a lot of pleasure
2025-01-26 — Terrance Tau does a Bayesian worksheet, from B. Humbert
2025-01-25 — Teller of tales
2025-01-24 — The anonymity of limit orders, from Humbert Q.
2025-01-23 — Biological Evolution
2025-01-22 — A Trader in Cotton: Morris Ranger, from Stefan Jovanovich
2025-01-20 — Price gouging
2025-01-19 — Some guy built a complete AI-driven hedge fund, from Asindu Drileba
2025-01-17 — Look into the light, from Humbert Z.
2025-01-17 — Cold outside (and in)
2025-01-16 — Bear hopes, and a good book
2025-01-15 — Maybe relevant to the issue of stops, from Humbert Q.
2025-01-14 — A job that might vanish
2025-01-13 — Assessing causes
2025-01-12 — Recollections of a Cowpuncher
2025-01-11 — Dimson, Staunton & Marsh: Global Investment Returns, 2024
2025-01-10 — Energy, from Carder Dimitroff
2025-01-09 — The Money Masters, from Asindu Drileba
2025-01-08 — From the Archives: Winning Ugly
2025-01-07 — Tips
2025-01-06 — AI-Powered (Finance) Scholarship, from Humbert X.
2025-01-05 — Two investors
2025-01-04 — The Influence of Sea Power Upon History
2025-01-03 — Five-year US load growth forecast, from Carder Dimitroff
2025-01-02 — Water Into Wine, from Laurel Kenner
2025-01-01 — A musical New Year’s card, from Laurel Kenner